The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable - cover

The Black Swan

The Impact of the Highly Improbable

By Nassim Nicholas Taleb

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About the book

Nassim Nicholas Taleb defines a Black Swan as a rare event that no one sees coming, that carries enormous impact, and that people explain away afterward as if it had been predictable, such as the rise of Google. A former options trader, he argues that such outliers shape history, markets and private lives, while banks lean on financial models that leave them exposed. The book moves from psychology toward science and probability, introducing Mediocristan and Extremistan and a turkey whose surprise is no surprise to the butcher, and it urges building robustness rather than trying to forecast. It belongs to his Incerto series and stayed on the New York Times list for 36 weeks.

It appears on a list of 12 books Jeff Bezos thinks everyone should read, and Readable founder Gabriel Coarna said it made him completely rethink what risk means.

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This book has 12 recommendations

Jeff Bezos (CEO/Amazon)

On Jeff Bezos’s 12 books Jeff Bezos thinks everyone should read (Business Insider, quoting Brad Stone)

Gabriel Coarna (Founder/Readable)

Nassim Taleb's "The Black Swan" made me completely rethink my understanding of "risk".

Recommended by Ola Olusoga (Co-founder/Populum)

Source: Interview with Ola Olusoga: How Books Have Guided His Path To Self-Discovery

Michael Herrmann (Founder/Terminerinnerung)

Life is governed by chance, even if we humans like to think of ourselves as in control by retroactively explaining things that happened in the past.

James Altucher (Founder/StockPickr)

And throw in “The Black Swan” and “Fooled by Randomness”.

“Fragile” means if you hit something might break.

“Resilient” means if you hit something, it will stay the same.

On my podcast Nassim discusses “Antifragility” – building a system, even on that works for you on a personal level, where you if you harm your self in some way it becomes stronger.

That podcast changed my life

He discusses Antifragility throughout history, up to our current economic situation, and even in our personal situations.

Recommended by Bill Liao (General Partner/RebelBio, SOSV.com)

Source: Interview with Bill Liao

Recommended by Fabrice Grinda (Serial Entrepreneur, Investor)

Source: Serial Entrepreneur & Investor Fabrice Grinda Reads Almost 100 Books Each Year

Recommended by Audrey Russo (President & CEO/Pittsburgh Technology Council)

Source: Audrey Russo, President & CEO of Pittsburgh Technology Council, Has an Active Reading List of 20 Books at a Time

Recommended by Darvin Kurniawan (CEO & Founder/CrowdVilla)

Source: Darvin Kurniawan, CEO & Founder of CrowdVilla, Talks About the Books that Challenged His World-View

Liquan Liew (Founder/Ripple Root)

The Black Swan - realising that Life happens beyond one's control. But also that serendipitous encounters are real if only we open our eyes to them.

Marie Denis (Creator/Women Make, Co-Founder/Threader & IP Man)

I’m not sure that’s the goal of the book but it helped me understand the random characteristic of entrepreneurship. Although the author applies it more to finance and research, it explains how some very rare events have disproportionate consequences and how we can’t predict them. I think success in entrepreneurship is the result of a lot of factors and not just hard work. So it might not be very positive and motivating but in a way it allowed me to have this perspective at a time where we highlight lots of successful entrepreneurs and don’t necessary see all the failures.

Recommended by Anant Jain (Co-Founder/CommonLounge)

Source: Book-Talk with Anant Jain, Co-Founder of CommonLounge: Common Entrepreneurial Mistakes & Reading Habits

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Jeff Bezos, Gabriel Coarna, Ola Olusoga, Michael Herrmann, James Altucher, Bill Liao, Fabrice Grinda, Audrey Russo, Darvin Kurniawan, Liquan Liew, Marie Denis, Anant Jain

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